Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1705.241248 1862.342619 2022.237816 2196.872778 2381.953156 2571.980610 2781.552553
2025-03-16 1427.027348 1656.689009 1900.225644 2176.574633 2480.312322 2802.873418 3170.198028
2025-03-23 1296.578021 1573.058799 1874.914143 2226.608097 2622.755681 3052.896285 3552.936932
2025-03-30 1177.244679 1484.724160 1829.034895 2239.315036 2711.013999 3232.601271 3849.132820
2025-04-06 1074.646362 1404.361452 1782.152218 2241.431376 2779.020274 3382.882806 4106.865434
2025-04-13 948.981548 1286.378777 1682.131744 2172.993412 2757.803011 3424.829229 4235.522796
2025-04-20 912.934608 1272.907612 1702.753585 2243.996188 2897.340351 3650.931780 4575.941728
2025-04-27 864.840941 1240.432440 1696.969624 2280.385267 2993.655194 3825.271955 4855.724807
2025-05-04 803.918493 1187.439882 1662.232054 2278.170838 3040.899462 3939.767577 5063.973514
2025-05-11 742.844634 1130.256198 1618.732465 2261.902095 3068.360132 4028.667279 5240.493197
2025-05-18 701.100228 1095.829745 1601.804930 2276.860873 3132.644829 4160.936451 5468.622020
2025-05-25 652.585413 1049.311650 1566.677936 2266.391274 3163.440087 4251.228096 5645.379499
2025-06-01 624.056108 1029.385632 1566.170452 2300.930732 3252.204217 4414.955089 5915.220118
2025-06-08 576.110221 979.606282 1523.757189 2279.119630 3268.217390 4488.266947 6074.543101
2025-06-15 558.791873 972.342510 1537.741593 2330.847271 3378.102374 4678.549951 6378.808412
2025-06-22 529.330765 945.613300 1523.627682 2343.971620 3437.313522 4805.035056 6604.222192
2025-06-29 498.385336 914.850432 1502.370571 2346.157766 3481.308119 4911.821682 6805.076984
2025-07-06 446.561808 849.404166 1429.529362 2275.454925 3427.058219 4891.814763 6845.180784
2025-07-13 442.410278 857.325347 1461.260035 2348.807057 3564.394765 5117.804174 7197.341364
2025-07-20 427.926766 848.087426 1467.544461 2386.391728 3653.863977 5282.534810 7472.623472
2025-07-27 402.975687 820.683486 1446.097930 2384.104702 3688.985185 5376.645190 7658.015762
2025-08-03 375.702125 787.888637 1415.278088 2367.301981 3703.450033 5443.262272 7807.966511
2025-08-10 358.617848 771.013600 1407.487780 2382.751783 3761.576501 5566.966879 8031.769126